Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Vallecano
27.8%
Draw
28.1%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Vallecano
vs
0.97
Numancia
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).