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DHT: 12CSV

28 Jun 2020 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Rizespor
30.5%
Draw
20.4%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Rizespor

vs
1.01

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).