Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Sunderland
18.2%
Draw
13.5%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Sunderland
vs
0.75
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).