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11 Apr 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Schalke 04
29.4%
Draw
41.9%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Schalke 04

vs
1.33

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).