Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Lechia Gdańsk
16.7%
Draw
15.4%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.39
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS71.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.0%
2-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).