Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Leganes
27.8%
Draw
30.8%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Leganes
vs
1.13
Girona
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).