Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
AFC Wimbledon
25.1%
Draw
29.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.03
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).