Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Augsburg
32.5%
Draw
23.1%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Augsburg
vs
0.77
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).