Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.8%
Benfica
8.0%
Draw
3.3%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Benfica
vs
0.49
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
4-0
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
5-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
3.8%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).