Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.7%
Guimaraes
18.0%
Draw
71.4%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Guimaraes
vs
2.08
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).