Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Forest Green
17.1%
Draw
68.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Forest Green
vs
2.26
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).