Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Watford
25.8%
Draw
61.4%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Watford
vs
1.75
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).