Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Cardiff
28.1%
Draw
49.6%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Cardiff
vs
1.51
Millwall
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).