Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Crystal Palace
29.2%
Draw
39.2%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Crystal Palace
vs
1.43
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).