Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Empoli
26.3%
Draw
34.0%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Empoli
vs
1.20
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).