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DHT: 00CSV

06 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.8%
Cadiz
23.8%
Draw
41.4%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Cadiz

vs
1.60

Almeria

Markets

BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).