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28 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.4%
Tromsø
10.2%
Draw
5.3%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

3.13

Tromsø

vs
0.71

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.0%
2-0
10.6%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-0
5.4%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).