Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Exeter
29.3%
Draw
27.6%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Exeter
vs
0.85
Colchester
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).