Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Farense
25.7%
Draw
26.3%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Farense
vs
0.97
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).