Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Charlton
25.3%
Draw
18.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Charlton
vs
0.68
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).