Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Barnsley
28.8%
Draw
28.3%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Barnsley
vs
1.09
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).