Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Samsunspor
25.2%
Draw
8.3%
Istanbulspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Samsunspor
vs
0.59
Istanbulspor
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.7%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).