Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Motor Lublin
24.0%
Draw
43.5%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Motor Lublin
vs
1.84
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS67.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).