Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Sunderland
33.6%
Draw
18.3%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sunderland
vs
0.66
Wolves
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
16.8%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).