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30 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.2%
Hibernian
20.7%
Draw
13.1%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Hibernian

vs
0.81

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).