Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Heidenheim
27.1%
Draw
24.8%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Heidenheim
vs
1.10
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).