Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Southampton
23.9%
Draw
20.8%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Southampton
vs
1.10
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).