Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Magdeburg
20.1%
Draw
21.9%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Magdeburg
vs
1.51
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS71.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
1-0
4.0%
4-2
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).