Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Burnley
26.1%
Draw
8.4%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Burnley
vs
0.39
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.5%
2-0
17.2%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).