Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Port Vale
20.1%
Draw
10.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Port Vale
vs
0.56
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
15.5%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).