Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.3%
Real Madrid
14.4%
Draw
7.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Real Madrid
vs
0.69
Girona
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).