Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Charlton
33.2%
Draw
32.4%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Charlton
vs
0.98
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).