Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Getafe
33.6%
Draw
22.6%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Getafe
vs
0.67
Valencia
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
0-0
18.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).