Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Fuenlabrada
23.5%
Draw
22.8%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.04
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).