Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Sp Gijon
24.8%
Draw
21.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sp Gijon
vs
0.90
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).