⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

23 Apr 2016

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.6%
Mansfield
22.9%
Draw
21.5%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Mansfield

vs
0.95

Barnet

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).