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22 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Kasımpaşa
35.2%
Draw
22.8%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Kasımpaşa

vs
0.90

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).