Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Inter
20.4%
Draw
11.8%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Inter
vs
0.64
Lazio
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).