Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Notts County
23.8%
Draw
25.2%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Notts County
vs
1.31
York
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).