Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Famalicao
32.1%
Draw
28.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Famalicao
vs
0.93
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).