Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
29.1%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
St Mirren
vs
1.17
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).