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DHT: 11

12 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Queens Park Rangers
27.5%
Draw
35.0%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.35

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).