Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Mantova
29.8%
Draw
29.3%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Mantova
vs
1.09
Padova
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).