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16 Dec 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.8%
Athens Kallithea
19.8%
Draw
74.5%
Olympiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.39

Athens Kallithea

vs
1.95

Olympiakos

Markets

BTTS28.4%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
18.3%
0-1
18.1%
0-3
11.9%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
7.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
1-0
3.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).