Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Crewe
23.6%
Draw
15.5%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Crewe
vs
0.66
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).