Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
West Brom
24.3%
Draw
61.1%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
West Brom
vs
1.93
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).