Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Celta
20.8%
Draw
15.9%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Celta
vs
0.93
Elche
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).