Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.4%
Liverpool
10.3%
Draw
7.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Liverpool
vs
0.99
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.581.4%
Over 3.563.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-0
4.7%
5-1
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).