Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Aston Villa
17.4%
Draw
8.6%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Aston Villa
vs
0.80
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).