Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Tottenham
30.4%
Draw
32.9%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Tottenham
vs
1.22
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).